With one exception, all five candidates competing to become Conservative leaders and British Prime Minister got what they needed from the first television debate at the Friday contest. ..
Tom Tagendat, who was declared a winner in a brief poll, needed to prove that he was a potential election winner, and did so. Next week, lawmakers will vote to decide which candidate will face the party’s vote, but before that there was a second debate on Sunday, and his mission was not the first victory. It is to show that it is a one-time only.
But the problem with Tagendat is that he isn’t enough to succeed. Others have to fail. He needs a Penny Mordaunt in the best place to win his vote to get stuck in the Sunday debate — but that’s something he can’t control.
As for Mordant himself, she entered the first debate among the parliamentary parties in the brilliance of her unexpected strength, but was engrossed in the question of whether there was any substance behind her. rice field. In her first debate, she did enough to avoid confirming those suspicions.
Kemi Badenoch and Liz Truss are making the other side of the same bet. Badenoch’s hopes depend on what appears to be a more straightforward and clear alternative to party rights than trusses, which helps her be free and able to criticize the withdrawal government. .. She made a clear and clear statement as to why she should be the flag bearer of rights.
Truss needs to maintain the support of Boris Johnson, who remains in the media and the Parliamentary Party, in order to maintain a pole position to unify the rights of the Conservative Party. On television, she managed to stick to that position by staying loyal to Johnson.Her rewards are much of the continued loyalty and support of the right-wing press, but at a cost due to the current prime minister resigning. Incredibly unpopular..
At the end of the contest, trusses and / or badenoch may appear to have chosen a poor strategy. If you can’t stay in the contest long enough to do so, it doesn’t make sense to have a strategy to unite Tory rights, as Truss has. But, like Badenoch, it’s not worth having a strategy to replace the truss as a candidate for rights. The influx of pushes makes it difficult to actually consolidate rights.
But what connects Tugendhat, Mordaunt, Badenoch and Truss is that they can’t change their strategy right now. Alternative strategies are not available for a variety of reasons. There is no way to unify rights without Truss remaining loyal to Johnson. Also, there is no way for Badenoch to leap her without jeopardizing her ability to unify her rights.
As the candidate with the least support for the Parliamentary Party, Tagendat can do nothing but expect one of his rivals to break down. For Mordant, there is no way to show the depth without risking destroying the eclectic band of Congressional supporters she has gathered.
The same is not true for Rishi Sunak. The performance of the former Prime Minister in the debate on Friday was excellent. He was clear and concise and showed exactly what his supporters were seeing him.But he doesn’t have enough support to win: all Survey suggests He will lose to those who face him in the final round. I think his biggest problem is that he is considered by the members to be a moderate tax increase.
The snack strategy is very similar to Ken Clark’s strategy. conservative Yes, they may not agree with him, but he is their best chance to win the election. There is no reason to believe that tactics failed for Clark in 1997, 2001 and 2005 and worked better for snacks.
But unlike Clark, snacks have alternatives. Clark was in real conflict with European single currency membership, but snacks are not moderate. If he can use Sunday’s debate to remind conservatives that he is a devoted and ideologically driven Brexitter, like the majority of them, he will still find a way to emerge as prime minister. I couldn’t.